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As of March 2005, 18 states and the District of Columbia
have created or committed to some form of Renewable Portfolio
Standards (RPS) program.1 Efforts to enact
RPS programs in other states continue to gain momentum. These
programs are already important financial drivers for renewable
projects. Some state RPS programs currently offer price premiums
that are more valuable than the federal income tax credit
under Section 45 of the Internal Revenue Code, recently extended
by congress to certain renewable projects.2
(click on the numbers to read footnotes at the end of this
article)
Each states RPS program is unique and offers different
opportunities for different renewable power projects. This
article will discuss some of the key features of those RPS
programs. 3
Background
Renewable Portfolio Standards are legal standards that require
or encourage utilities or load-serving entities to supply
a certain amount of their load from renewable
energy sources. RPS programs are intended to achieve a variety
of public policy objectives: (1) reduce air pollution from
dirty power plants; (2) reduce greenhouse gas
emissions; (3) reduce reliance on foreign oil; (4) minimize
impact of price volatility in fuel sources for electricity
generation by diversifying the fuel source base; and (5) encourage
production of electricity from local energy resources.
National and international events in recent yearse.g.,
the California energy crisis of 001, the 9/11 attacks, instability
in the Middle East, greater recognition that global warming
is occurring, increasing fossil fuel priceshave motivated
state policymakers to develop RPS programs.
Opponents of RPS programs argue that free marketsnot
governmentshould determine energy sources and that RPS
programs impose a cost on ratepayers by forcing utilities
to buy power from uneconomic generation sources. Proponents
respond that requiring more renewable power will make renewables
more economic 4 and might reduce energy prices
in the long term by providing a hedge against future increases
in fossil fuel prices. They also argue that most RPS programs
are designed to encourage competition among renewable power
sources, which will encourage development of lower-cost renewables.
It is unlikely that renewable portfolio standards will be
enacted on a national level any time soon. The House Republican
leadership strongly opposes a national renewable portfolio
standard. 5 The absence of a national standard
has cleared the field for states to act. In 1996, only Iowa
and Minnesota required utilities to have a certain amount
of renewable generation. Massachusetts enactment of
an RPS statute in 1997 began a trend toward RPS programs that
has accelerated in the last few years.
Which Electric
Providers Must Meet Portfolio Requirements?
Some RPS programs require compliance by all retail electric
providers, but some of the largest programs limit compliance
to only certain electric providers, such as public utilities.
Municipal electric companies and electric cooperatives are
sometimes exempted from compliance. California currently requires
compliance only from its three largest investor-owned utilities
(IOUs). 6 Minnesota imposes a mandate on
its largest utility but sets good-faith goals for all other
electric providers. New York excludes the New York Power Authority,
the Long Island Power Authority, and all municipal utilities.
Colorados program includes retail electric providers
with over 40,000 customers (currently the nine largest utilities).
Texas includes all retail electric providers.
Mandates and
Percentages
Perhaps the most important aspect of an RPS program is whether
or not it imposes mandates on retail electric providers. Of
the 19 state RPS programs in effect or under development,
17 programs require generation or procurement of renewable
power, one (Illinois) sets goals only, and one (Minnesota)
places requirements on one utility while setting good-faith
standards for other retail electric providers.
Most of the mandatory RPS programs require retail electric
providers to generate or procure a percentage of their load
in megawatt-hours from renewables, with the percentage requirements
increasing over time. 7 The percentage requirements
under RPS programs vary widely and do not always indicate
the states commitment to renewable power. For example,
Arizonas requirements (utilities required to have 0.8%
renewable power in 2004, increasing to 1.1% by 2007) seem
modest compared to Maines (retail electric providers
required to have 30% renewable power by 2002), but Arizonas
program offers greater opportunities to renewable developers
because Maine already generates enough renewable power to
meet its requirements. 8
Three programs (Texas, Minnesota, and Iowa) base some or
all of their requirements on megawatts installed, not megawatt-hours.
9 In theory, wind projects and other intermittent
sources would fare better in a megawatt-based program than
in a megawatt-hourbased program because they would be
credited for their full capacity despite having lower capacity
factors. But the Texas program functions like a megawatt-hourbased
program. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT),
the program administrator, uses a capacity conversion
factor to convert the programs capacity requirements
into megawatt-hour purchase requirements for each retail electric
provider, then allocates each provider its share of the purchase
requirement based on its share of the overall electric load.
Minnesotas RPS statute contains mandatory requirements
for XCel Energy and good-faith goals for other retail electric
providers. XCel must have 1% renewables in its portfolio by
2005, increasing by 1% each year up to 10% by 2015 and must
have 300 MW of wind power by 2010. These requirements do not
include 825 MW of wind power and 110 MW of farm closed-loop
biomass power that XCel was required to generate or procure
by 2002 under prior legislation. Other providers are simply
required to make good-faith efforts to reach the same percentage
goals as XCel. The Minnesota Public Utilities Commission (PUC)
appears to be vigorously implementing the good-faith program,
but it is unclear whether the PUC will attempt to enforce
the good faith standards if providers have any difficulty
meeting them.
Renewable Energy
Credits
RPS programs are likely to confer some form of price premium
on a renewable power project. Increasingly, states are recognizing
the value of renewable energy in the form of renewable energy
credits (RECs). RECs are certificates of proof that a certain
amount (generally 1 MWh) of electricity has been generated
by a renewable power source. The REC represents the renewable
characteristics of a megawatt-hour, not the megawatt-hour
itself.
Generally, RECs are unbundled from electricity
and tradable. 10 Tradable RECs
create a more liquid market for renewable power. The result
to the public should be a more efficient renewable market
and lower-cost renewable power.
There is no need to track electrons. With tradable RECs,
retail electric providers can satisfy renewable portfolio
standards either by generating renewable power and RECs themselves,
purchasing power and RECs directly from the renewable power
generator, or purchasing RECs without purchasing the associated
power. A renewable generator can sell its power to one retail
electric provider and its RECs to another. A retail electric
provider can sell surplus RECs to another provider.
A tradable REC program must be supported by a certificate-trading
system. In a typical system, renewable generators register
with regulators in the state in which they want to qualify.
Then, renewable generators and retail electric providers register
with a system administrator (usually the local grid operator).
As renewable power is generated, generators periodically report
their output to the system administrator, who verifies the
qualifying status of the output. The administrator then creates
RECs and assigns them to the generators account. Generators
then transfer the RECs to the account of REC purchasers during
specified transfer windows. RECs can be bought and sold multiple
times within such windows. The RPS programs set a date and
time when all retail electric providers subject to the program
must have the requisite number of RECs in their account.
The New England Power Pool Generator Information System (NEPOOL
GIS) and the Texas trading program administered by ERCOT are
the major certificate-trading systems. The NEPOOL GIS tracks
attributes of all generation, providing a mechanism for emissions
disclosures and other required environmental reporting, while
the Texas system tracks only renewable attributes. Wisconsin
contracts with a private company, Clean Power Markets Inc.,
to run its certificate-trading system. In Nevada, the Public
Utilities Commission is the system administrator.
PJM is developing a Generation Attribute Tracking System
(PJM GATS) modeled on the NEPOOL GIS system. This system is
scheduled to begin operation by the end of 2005. It will track
attributes of all generation, not just renewables. PJM GATS
is likely to include an annual reporting and trading schedule,
not a quarterly schedule like the NEPOOL GIS.
The Western Governors Association (comprising 11 western
states) and other stakeholders are developing the Western
Regional Energy Generation Information System (WREGIS), anticipated
to be operational in late 2005. WREGIS will initially serve
the function of verifying renewable generation and standardizing
information to enable buyers and sellers of renewable power
and attributes to conduct sales transactions with confidence.
But in the future, WREGIS could serve as the platform for
trading certificates. If California and Colorado adopt REC
trading programs they will consider using WREGIS as administrator,
and other states would certainly follow.
Penalties
The strength of enforcement mechanisms is an important factor
in how a state RPS program functions. In some states, utilities
that fail to generate or purchase the requisite percentage
of renewable power (or to acquire RECs in lieu of generating
or purchasing power from renewable sources) must make an alternative
compliance payment (ACP) for every kilowatt-hour or megawatt-hour
by which they fall short of the requirement. The ACP is paid
to the applicable regulatory agency in the state and is generally
used to help fund grants, loans, or price supports to renewable
energy projects.
Connecticut ($55/MWh), California ($50/MWh), Massachusetts
($50/MWh), New Jersey ($50/MWh) 11, Rhode
Island ($50/MWh) and Texas (lesser of $50/MWh or 200% of the
average market price for RECs in the previous year) have set
the highest ACPs. 12
Absent other sanctions for non-compliance, the ACP becomes
the ceiling on the price of RECsthere would be no reason
for a utility to purchase RECs at a price that is higher than
the penalty for non-compliance. If the supply of renewable
power is tight (at or just below the percentage requirement)
in a given year, the market price for RECs will approach the
ACP.
Other RPS states have not set up specific enforcement mechanisms.
In most cases, agencies in those states can impose fines or
revoke licenses in the event of non-compliance with the RPS
program. At this time, there are no reported instances of
a retail electric provider being sanctioned by regulators
for non-compliance.
Price Floors/Ceilings
In some states, other market support mechanisms may help support
renewable projects. The Massachusetts Technology Collaborative
(MTC), a quasi-public entity, makes low-interest loans to
selected projects and enters collar arrangements
where the renewable generator can put RECs to MTC at a designated
low price and MTC can call RECs at a designated high price.
MTC would then attempt to resell any RECs that it purchases.
This gives the renewable generator a guaranteed price range
for the sale of its RECs, facilitating long-term power sales
agreements and financeability of projects.
Long-Term Power
Sales Contracts
Long-term power sales contracts are critical to the success
of a renewable project. Lenders are often reluctant to loan
money against a project with an uncertain revenue stream.
Long-term power sales contracts provide renewable generators,
and their lenders, with greater certainty of revenues.
Under most RPS programs, it is left up to the renewable electric
providers and generators whether or not to enter into long-term
contracts. However, the California and New York RPS programs
will rely heavily on long-term contracts. Under the California
RPS, each investor-owned utility (IOU) solicits competitive
bids from renewable generators every year. The solicitations
are approved by the California Public Utilities Commission
and seek 10-year, 15-year, and 20-year contracts. In New York,
the Public Service Commission has indicated a preference for
long-term contracts. In both states, policymakers assume that
long-term contracts benefit the utilities and the public by
offering the best opportunity for lower bids and cost savings.
Perfecting a
Security Interest in RECs
Before lending to a renewable project, lenders will want to
perfect and otherwise protect their interest in the projects
RECs in order to be certain that they can take possession
of all RECs in the event of foreclosure or transfer. Generally,
RECs are treated as general intangibles under
Article 9 of the UCC. Under most states laws, security
interests in general intangibles are perfected by filing a
financing statement with the secretary of state in the state
of the borrowers chief executive office. The legal structure
underlying RECs is still evolving, so lenders should investigate
whether other filings should be made to perfect their security
interests. It would be wise to investigate whether a state
office (where renewable generators are required to register)
or a system administrator (if applicable) will accept such
a filing. A lender could also require that the borrower name
the lender as a designated representative when the borrower
files as a renewable generator with the state registration
office.
Mid-Course Reviews
and Safety Valves
Some RPS programs (e.g., New Jersey by 2008, New York by 2009,
and Rhode Island by 2010 and 2014) require a mid-course review,
in which state regulators or lawmakers will review the RPS
program and could possibly scale it back. Other programs (e.g.,
Hawaii) expressly allow for requirements to be waived if they
prove to be too costly to retail electric providers and consumers.
Renewable generators relying on these programs without binding
long-term contracts should keep these considerations in mind
with respect to these markets.
Eligible Renewable
Energy Fuel Sources
Different renewable energy sources are eligible
under different RPS programs. The following projects are eligible
under most programs:
- Solar
- Geothermal
- Wind
- Landfill Gas
- Some form of biomass (sometimes limited to closed-loop,
clean open-loop, low emission, etc.)
- Small (5 MW30 MW) or low-impact hydro
Not surprisingly, each states RPS program features
energy sources that are prominent in that state or region.
Northeast states uniformly include wood-fired and small hydro
projects. Some northern and upper midwestern states allow
larger hydro projects. 13 Midwestern states
explicitly include agricultural-related biomass. 14
Coastal states include tidal or wave power projects. 15
Other eligible fuel sources in some states include poultry
waste, 16 animal waste, 17
digester gas, 18 and fuel cells. 219
Many RPS programs confer eligibility on projects using fuel
sources that are not, strictly speaking, renewable.
Some RPS programs include waste-to-energy facilities (sometimes
under limited circumstances). 20 Californias
RPS includes waste tire projects. Pennsylvanias new
program includes projects fueled by coal mine methane and
waste coal. In New York, plants fueled by eligible biomass,
biogas, and biofuels qualify even when co-fired with fossil
fuels, though they only qualify for the electricity attributable
to the eligible fuel. Minnesotas good-faith program
also allows credit for co-firing to the extent that the renewable
fuel is used. In Massachusetts, plant owners can seek a waiver
to include a co-fired plant in the program.
Favored Renewable
Energy Sources
Some RPS programs favor certain renewable energy sources over
others. Three statesConnecticut, Maryland, and New Jerseycreate
two or more classes of renewables. Class 1 generally features
the most-favored renewablessolar, wind, fuel cell, ocean/tidal,
landfill gas, closed-loop or clean biomass, and smaller hydro.
Class 2 includes less favored sources such as waste-to-energy
and other hydro or biomass. Retail providers are required
to meet overall percentage requirements using any type of
qualified renewable source, but must meet a large portion
of the requirement using only Class 1 sources.
Another approach is weighing generation from certain renewable
sources more heavily. Under regulations proposed by the New
Mexico Public Regulatory Commission to implement the states
RPS, every kilowatt-hour generated by solar projects will
count as 3 kWh toward compliance; every kilowatt-hour generated
by biomass, geothermal, landfill gas, and fuel cell projects
will count as 2 kWh toward compliance, and every kilowatt-hour
generated by wind and hydro projects will count as 1 kWh toward
compliance. Maryland gives extra credit toward its RPS requirements
for output generated by new wind projects. 21
Four states (Arizona, Colorado, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania)
have a special set-aside for solar projects. Arizona requires
that solar power comprise 60% of its utilities renewables
portfolio by 2004. Colorado and Pennsylvanias set-asides
are more modest. New Jersey sets a separate percentage requirement
for solar power, and requires utilities to purchase separate
RECs (solar RECs) to satisfy that requirement. Minnesotas
program includes a small set-aside for biomass projects.
New Yorks RPS encourages development of distributed
generation by creating a special tier for customer-sited solar,
wind (up to 300 MW) and biomass projects. Utilities must buy
2% of the overall renewables increment from eligible customer-sited
facilities, but output from these facilities will only count
toward the requirement if it is not sold to the utility under
a mandatory net-metering regime.
Emissions and
Technology Standards
Most RPS programs do not restrict the eligibility of combustion
projects (e.g., biomass) using an eligible fuel on the basis
of their emissions. Connecticut imposes some restrictions.
To qualify as a Class I renewable resource in Connecticut,
most open loop biomass plants must average less than 0.075
pounds/MMBtu (fuel input) of NOx emissions in a calendar quarter.
Connecticut also includes some older biomass plants that would
have more difficulty meeting Class I standardsthey may
qualify as a Class II resource in Connecticut if they average
less than 0.2 pounds/MMBtu (fuel input) of NOx emissions in
a calendar quarter.
Similarly, most states do not attempt to restrict the technology
that may be used to combust an eligible fuel. However, in
Massachusetts, where the RPS program is limited to new
renewable resources, biomass plants using pile burn,
stoker combustion and similar technologies do not qualify
as renewable resources.
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Existing Versus
New Projects
Most RPS programs confer eligibility on existing renewable
projects as well as new ones. Other states seek to encourage
new renewable projects by offering eligibility to projects
placed in service after specified dates (vintage requirements).
For example, projects must be placed into service on or after
December 31, 1997 to qualify in Massachusetts; on or after
September 1, 1999 to qualify in Texas; and on or after January
1, 2003 to qualify in New York (except for pre-existing wind,
biomass, and very small hydro projects which may apply for
inclusion). 22 These dates generally
correspond to the date that the RPS program was enacted or
announced. New Jersey imposes vintage requirements only on
out-of-region projects.
Limiting eligibility to new projects focuses financial incentives
on those projects, more directly advancing the policy goal
of adding new renewable generation. But excluding existing
renewable projects from an RPS program places those projects
at a competitive disadvantage versus new renewables. Some
existing RPS-ineligible renewable projects may shut down if
retail electric providers stop purchasing their power or lower
their offers in favor of power from RPS-eligible new renewable
projects. Letting existing renewable projects go off-line
just as new renewables are coming online defeats the policy
purpose of increasing the overall percentage of renewables.
Texas addressed this problem by allowing retail electric providers
to offset purchases from existing ineligible renewable sources
against their requirement to purchase power from eligible
renewable sources.
Californias RPS program includes projects that are
new and repowered projects (after January 1, 2002), and some
existing renewable projects. Most new and repowered renewable
projects are eligible for supplemental energy payments (SEPs)
payable by the California Energy Commission, while existing
projects are not eligible. 23 Plants are
considered repowered if they replace their prime generating
equipment and demonstrate that they have made capital investments
in the facility at least equal to 80% of the value of the
repowered facility.
Some state RPS statutes do not state whether or not existing
renewable projects are included in the programs. In these
states, the regulatory agencies charged with administering
the programs may end up deciding this question.
Geographic Reach
Many RPS programs confer eligibility on in-state projects
and out-of-state projects that deliver power into the state
or regional ISO territory. 24 Counting out-of-state
power toward RPS requirements can make policy sense. The public
realizes at least some of the benefits of renewable power
no matter where it is generated.
Although some state programs appear to have the same territorial
limitations, there are subtle differences between some of
them. The four New England programs (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts,
and Rhode Island) allow qualifying projects located in or
delivering power into ISO-NE territory to participate in their
programs, but Connecticut also allows projects located in
New York and several PJM states (New Jersey, Pennsylvania,
Maryland, and Delaware) to qualify, even if the power from
that project is not delivered into Connecticutso long
as the Connecticut PUC has determined that these states have
developed RPS programs similar to Connecticuts.
The PJM states with RPS programs (New Jersey, Pennsylvania,
Maryland, and the District of Columbia) all include projects
located in PJM territory. Pennsylvania does not include power
from projects located outside PJM territory that deliver power
into PJM territory. New Jersey does include imports, but only
from projects for which construction began on or after January
1, 2003. Maryland and the District of Columbias RPS
laws include projects located in a state adjacent to
the PJM region, apparently even if the project does not deliver
output into PJM territory. However, the staff of the Maryland
Public Service Commission interprets the statute to include
projects outside PJM territory only if they deliver power
into PJM territory.
Multiple State
Eligibility/No Double-Counting
Because renewable projects may qualify for RPS programs in
states other than the state in which they are located, some
renewable projects may qualify for more than one RPS program.
The renewable developer should investigate which RPS program
offers the best opportunity to its project. Many factors come
into consideration, e.g., the demand for renewable power in
an RPS program, REC, or renewable power prices (if the program
has already come into effect), the states degree of
commitment to the program, and the states enforcement
tools and willingness to use them.
Many RPS statutes or regulations explicitly state that a
project cannot generate and sell RECs or renewable attributes
associated with the same output in more than one state RPS
program, and it is unlikely that any statute or regulation
will be construed to allow double-counting. Policymakers have
decided (correctly) that double-counting would be a windfall
for a renewable developer that qualifies in multiple states
and would dilute the effectiveness of the RPS program. But
there is nothing to prevent a renewable project from selling
RECs in State As RPS program for a period of time, then
stopping its participation in State A and selling RECs in
State Bs program.
Do RECs or Attributes
Transfer Under Older Power Sales Contracts?
Many existing, older renewable projects sell power as qualifying
facilities (QFs) to public utilities at avoided cost under
power sales contracts entered into under the Public Utilities
Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 (PURPA). Not surprisingly,
these contracts are silent on whether the buyers of power
also purchase the renewable attributes associated with the
power. Now that the renewable attributes have value (especially
in states with tradable RECs), both the generators selling
renewable power and the utilities purchasing renewable power
want to claim ownership to those attributes. In October 2003,
the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) ruled that
PURPA and related FERC regulations do not cause the automatic
transfer of renewable attributes from a renewable generator
to a utility under an avoided cost contract absent an express
contractual provision to the contrary. However, FERC observed
that RECs are the creation of state law and states themselves
may decide that a sale of power at wholesale automatically
transfers RECs to the power purchaser.
Most states with RPS programs have not yet reached this issue.
The Maine Public Utilities Commission has ruled that QF contracts
transfer attributes along with power to purchasing utilities.
In March 2004, the Connecticut Department of Public Control
decided that renewable attributes from certain renewable projects
automatically transfer under Connecticut law from the generators
to the public utility purchasing the power under a particular
form of power sales contract. That decision is under appeal.
Analysis of Markets
State RPS programs are still developing, and existing programs
are still evolving. Based on current information about legal
structure and market conditions, we grade the current RPS
market opportunities for developers as follows:
Best Opportunities
for DevelopersKey Features
California
- The RPS statute currently imposes percentage requirements
on Californias three major IOUs (PG&E, SCE, and
SDG&E). Requirements are already in effect. The final
statutory requirement is 20% renewables by 2017. Stating
in 2006, it will also apply to ESPs.
- The program is jointly administered by the California
Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) and California Energy
Commission (CEC). The CEC is managing issues relating to
generator eligibility, while the CPUC is overseeing procurement
by the IOUs.
- The CPUC and the CEC want to meet the 20% goal by 2010.
The CPUC is requiring the IOUs to submit plans for RPS procurement
with an emphasis on reaching 20% by 2010. A bill that would
have mandated 20% by 2010 (among other provisions) was vetoed
by Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger. Nevertheless, Governor
Schwarzenegger is a strong supporter of accelerating and
raising RPS requirements.
- Each IOU will annually solicit bids for long-term (10-,
15-. and 20-year) power purchase contracts (including power
and environmental attributes) from renewable
generators. Each of the IOUs has issued an RFP for renewable
contracts. At this writing, SCE has submitted its proposed
contracts to the CPUC for approval, and PG&E and SDG&E
are expected to do so soon.
- Generators must sell power and environmental attributes
to the IOUs together, reflecting Californias skepticism
of any device resembling tradable contracts in the wake
of the Enron fiasco.
- The ACP is $50/MWh.
- The CEC is developing a registration system for tracking
renewable generators and power. Participation is presently
limited to generators selling or delivering power into California.
In time, the California program may use WREGIS (currently
under development, the CEC is a co-sponsor), and may include
tradable RECs and projects not selling or delivering into
California.
- The CPUC and the CEC estimate that meeting 20% by 2010
would add 4,200 MWs of renewable capacity between 2003 and
2010. This might be an underestimate. Californias
RPS program could potentially cause the development of more
renewable generation more quickly than any other program.
- Renewable developers must be certified by the CEC to participate
in the program.
JM Region (Mid-Atlantic States)
- Key features of the New Jersey, Maryland, Pennsylvania,
and District of Columbia RPS programs
- PJM territory (all or part of New Jersey, Pennsylvania,
Delaware, Maryland, West Virginia, Ohio, and Virginia) can
be considered as one market since projects located in the
territory are eligible for New Jersey, Maryland, Pennsylvania,
and the District of Columbias RPS programs.
- New Jerseys RPS program was finalized in 2004 and
is already in effect. Total requirements (inclusive of Class
I and Class II) start at 3.25% and go up to 6.5% by 2008.
Further requirements could reach 20% by 2020, but first
the New Jersey BPU will review the program in 2008. There
is a special set-aside for solar.
- Marylands program was enacted in 2004 and takes
effect in 2006. Requirements start at 1% in 200607
and go to 7.5% by 2019. New wind facilities receive extra
credit toward the requirements.
- Pennsylvanias program was enacted in 2004 and takes
effect in 2007. The program includes two tiers. Tier I requirements
begin at 1.5% in 2007 and rise to 8% by 2020. Tier II requirements
begin at 4.2% in 2007 and rise to 10% by 2020. There is
a special set-aside for solar.
- The District of Columbia program was enacted in 2004 and
takes effect in 2007. The program has two tiers. Tier one
begins at 1.5% in 2007 and rises to 11% by 2022. Tier two
is slowly phased out. There is a special set-aside for solar.
- Pennsylvania does not count power imported into PJM territory
generated by projects outside of PJM territory. New Jersey
counts imports into PJM territory only from projects constructed
on or after January 1, 2003. Maryland allows imports and
might allow power from projects in states adjacent to PJM
even if the power is not delivered into PJM territory.
- All four programs will use tradable RECs. According to
Evolution Markets, New Jersey Class I RECs for the 2005
reporting year are trading in the $7 to $8 range. These
prices may go up as the New Jersey percentage requirements
go up and the Maryland, District of Columbia, and Pennsylvania
programs take effect.
- ACP levels are high in New Jersey ($50/MWh) and Pennsylvania
($45/MWh), and lower in Maryland ($20/MWh for Tier 1) and
District of Columbia ($25/MWh for Tier 1).
- These four programs together will cause the installation
of several thousand MW of new renewable generation in PJM
territory. Some of Pennsylvanias requirements will
be satisfied by eligible coal methane and waste coalfired
projects.
- All four programs anticipate an REC trading system to
be administered by PJM GATS. This system is still under
development and may be operational by the end of 2005.
- To participate in these programs, renewable developers
should contact the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities,
the Maryland Public Service Commission, the District of
Columbia Energy Office, and the Pennsylvania Public Utility
Commission, respectively. When the PJM GATS system is adopted,
renewable developers should also contact PJM.
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New York
- In September 2004, the New York Public Service Commission
(PSC) adopted an RPS program that is scheduled to go into
effect in 2006. This action responded to Governor George
Patakis call for an RPS program in 2003.
- Under the plan, 25% of New Yorks electricity will
come from renewable sources by 2013. The state will reach
24% through RPS requirements and will obtain the remaining
1% via green marketing.
- The PSC should issue an Implementation Plan in the first
half of 2005.
- The New York Power Authority, the Long Island Power Authority,
and municipal utilities are exempted from the requirements,
but encouraged to voluntarily participate.
- NYSERDA will procure all renewable power contracts under
the program. NYSERDA conducted an initial solicitation for
bids and selected the winning bids in February 2005. There
is no ACP since NYSERDA will procure the contracts.
- With few exceptions, only projects developed after January
1, 2003 will be eligible for the program. There will be
no tradable RECs at first. Power generated out of state
can qualify for the program if an associated amount of power
is delivered into New York each month.
- The PSC estimates that about 3,700 MW of new renewable
generation must be added in the next 9 years to reach 25%
renewables.
- The PSC will review the entire RPS program in 2009.
- The PSC wants RPS requirements to give way to a market-oriented
program. NYSERDA will file a proposed transition to a market-based
system in 2009.
- To participate in the program, renewable developers should
contact NYSERDA and the PSC.
Minnesota
- Minnesotas RPS was amended in 2003. It is mandatory
for XCel Energy, which provides over half of the states
electrical load.
- The program sets good-faith percentage requirements on
all retail providers, with the percentages increasing from
1% in 2005 to 10% by 2015.
- XCels share of the good-faith percentage requirements
is mandatory, does not include power attributable to prior
mandates (a total of 935 MW required to be obtained from
wind and agricultural biomass sources by 2002), and includes
a requirement to generate or procure an additional 300 MW
of wind power by 2010.
- The Minnesota Public Utilities Commission has issued a
series of orders implementing the statutory program. It
has opened a docket to determine whether the program will
include tradable RECs.
- It is uncertain how strong the non-XCel good-faith program
will be. There are no penalties for non-compliance as yet,
but the PUC seems to be serious about implementing the good-faith
program and requiring compliance.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers should
start by contacting the Minnesota PUC.
New England
- New England can generally be considered as one market,
since projects either located in or delivering power into
ISO-NE territory (most of New England) are potentially eligible
for any of the Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island,
or Maine RPS programs.
- The Massachusetts and Connecticut programs are two of
the most advanced RPS programs in the country, with ambitious
percentage requirements, already-functioning REC markets
and significant penalties for non-compliance. Rhode Islands
recently enacted program should be similarly strong when
it takes effect in 2007.
- Maines program offers little opportunity to new
renewable projects because existing projects satisfy its
percentage requirement.
- Eligibility requirements for the four New England programs
vary, so a particular project may qualify for one program
but not another.
- According to Evolution Markets, Massachusetts RECs for
2005 are trading in the $40 to $50 range, while Connecticut
Class I RECs for 2005 are trading in the $35 to $45 range.
- Together, the Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Rhode Island
programs will cause significant additional renewable generation
to be installed. The proposed Cape Wind project (420 MW),
if developed, may affect the New England REC market.
- To participate in the Connecticut or Massachusetts programs,
renewable developers should register with the Connecticut
Department of Public Utility Control or the Massachusetts
Division of Energy Resources, respectively. To participate
in the Maine or Rhode Island programs, developers should
contact the Maine Public Utilities Commission or the Rhode
Island Public Utilities Commission, respectively. To participate
in any of the programs, developers should also contact NEPOOL
to register in the NEPOOL GIS.
Texas
- The RPS statute sets statewide targets for MWs of new
renewable generation800 MW by the end of 2004, 1,400
MW by 2006, and 2,000 MW by 2008. ERCOT administers the
program and converts the targets into megawatt-hourbased
requirements for each retail electric provider.
- Only new generation (installed on or after 9/1/99) qualifies
for RECs, but older renewable plants may qualify for offsets
that reduce the purchasers share of overall state
renewable purchase requirements.
- Out-of-state power may qualify for RECs under the Texas
program, but subject to difficult restrictions, so no out-of-state
power has actually qualified so far.
- According to Evolution Markets, Texas RECs for 2004 are
trading in the $13 to $15 range.
- Over 1,200 MW of new renewable generation was online as
of 8/04, easily meeting the 2004 target of 800 MW. Over
95% of the new projects to date have been wind projects.
The programs success means that less than 800 MWs
of new generation remains to be added by 2008 to meet the
statutory requirement.
- The Texas Energy Planning Council may recommend that the
Texas legislature establish a new RPS requiring 5,000 MW
of installed renewable capacity (including 500 MW of solar)
by 2015 and 10,000 MW of renewable capacity by 2025.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers must
register with the Public Utility Commission of Texas and
with ERCOT.
Next Best
Opportunities
Colorado
- The program was passed by ballot initiative in November
2004. It requires Colorado utilities with 40,000 or more
customers to meet a threshold of 3% renewables from 2007
through 2010, 6% from 2011 through 2014, and 10% in 2015
and thereafter.
- The program will include tradable RECs. Power generated
out-of-state may qualify for the program, but power generated
in-state will be given greater weight toward compliance.
- The Public Utilities Commission of Colorado will adopt
implementing regulations by March 2006.
- An affected utility can exempt itself out of the program
if it holds an election and a majority of its customers
approve exemption. Similarly, unaffected utilities can opt
into the program.
- According to the Union of Concerned Scientists, the Colorado
RPS will cause nearly 1,300 MW of new renewable generation
to be built by 2025.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers should
contact the Colorado PUC.
Nevada
- Nevada amended its RPS statute in 2003. It was first
enacted in 2001. The Nevada PUC finalized new implementing
rules early in 2004.
- Retail electric providers were required to have 5% renewables
in 200304, increasing by 2% every other year up to
15% in 2013. There is a set-aside for solar power.
- The program includes tradable RECs. Power generated out-of-state
might qualify for the program if delivered to a providers
lines and if approved by the PUC.
- In 2003, Nevadas two major utilities were unable
to meet the portfolio requirements because renewable developers
had trouble obtaining financing due to the utilities
poor credit rating. At the initiative of Governor Kenny
Guinn, in September 2004 the Nevada PUC adopted rules creating
a ratepayer-funded trust dedicated to paying renewable projects
for their power and RECs.
- Nevadas RPS will cause the installation of significant
new renewable generation in the state. Many more renewable
projects could be developed in Nevada with the expectation
of exporting power to California.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers must
apply to the Nevada Public Utilities Commission.
New Mexico
- In March 2004, Governor Bill Richardson signed into law
an RPS bill replacing an initial RPS program developed by
the state Public Regulatory Commission (PRC).
- In July 2004, the PRC issued proposed rules implementing
the RPS statute. These rules have not yet been finalized.
- Utilities must have at least 5% renewables by January
1, 2006, increasing 1% each year up to 10% by January 1,
2011. The program will include RECs, probably tradable.
- Governor Richardson and others believe that New Mexico
can not only generate a significant portion of its own power
needs from renewable sources, but also export renewable
power to other western states.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers should
start by contacting the New Mexico Public Regulation Commission.
Other OpportunitiesKey
Features
Hawaii
- Hawaii amended its RPS statute in 2004. It requires utilities
to meet renewable percentage requirements from 7% in 2003
to 20% in 2020.
- By December 31, 2006, the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission
must develop and implement a ratemaking structure that incentivizes
utilities to cost-effectively meet the RPS. The structure
will allow for deviation from the standards if they cannot
be met in a cost-effective manner.
- The PUC may give a utility temporary relief from the standards
if it is unable to meet the standards in a cost-effective
manner.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers should
start by contacting the Hawaii PUC.
Arizona
- Arizonas RPS program went into effect in 2001 and
is applicable to all retail providers. The final threshold
is a relatively modest 1.1% renewables in 2007, 60% of which
must come from solar electric power.
- Present requirements will cause the installation of a
relatively small amount of additional renewable generation,
largely solar.
- Arizonas political leaders talk about increasing
the states commitment to renewable power, especially
solar. Governor Janet Napolitano advocates a state commitment
to solar energy. Some members of the Arizona Corporation
Commission want to increase the states RPS requirements,
though others oppose it.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers should
start by contacting the Arizona Corporation Commission.
Wisconsin
- Wisconsin requires its utilities to have portfolios including
increasing but relatively modest percentages of renewables.
The program-tradable RECs that can be banked.
- Utilities have already banked enough RECs to meet the
final statutory threshold of 2.2% renewables in 2011, so
there is little incentive to develop new projects under
present law.
- A task force appointed by Governor Jim Doyle is expected
to recommend that utilities meet renewable portfolio requirements
of at least 10% by 2015 and that state agencies purchase
10% renewables by 2006 and 20% by 2010.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers must
certify their facilities with the Wisconsin Public Service
Commission.
Iowa
- Iowa requires its utilities to collectively generate
105 MW of renewable power statewide.
- This standard is already met through existing wind and
biomass projects, so there is no meaningful incentive for
new projects under present law.
- To participate in this program, renewable developers should
start by contacting the Iowa Utilities Board.
No Opportunity
Created Yet
Illinois.
- At present, Illinois simply has renewable goals in the
context of an overall energy security initiative. No rules
have been adopted to achieve the goals. The Illinois Commerce
Commission is considering an RPS Plan submitted by Governor
Blagojevich.
Future Opportunities
- More RPS programs may develop in the West. Governors of
13 western states making up the Western Governors Association
have committed to support accelerated development of 30,000
MWs of renewable resources throughout the West. Some of
these states may enact mandatory RPS programs in the future,
while others may rely on voluntary RPS programs, net metering,
or green power marketing. Some states may emphasize exporting
renewable power to large-energy-consumption states like
California. WREGIS is scheduled to be operational sometime
in 2005 and will be available to verify renewable generator
information. Individual states will decide whether to include
tradable RECs in their programs and whether to use WREGIS
as their system administrator. Growth opportunities for
renewable projects in the West will hinge on two critical
factors: (1) whether or not WREGIS functions effectively,
not only as a collector and verifier of renewable generator
information, but also whether or not states choose to use
it as a tradable REC platform, and (2) whether or not California
continues its course toward an ambitious RPS program and
ultimately implements a tradable REC program that includes
projects in other western states.
- Other jurisdictions in the northeast (e.g., Delaware)
might develop RPS programs in the next few years.
- Development of wind generation has taken off in many midwestern
states. In 2004, RPS bills were introduced in several midwestern
state legislatures. Some policymakers in these states are
interested in RPS programs, but there is also widespread
skepticism of mandatory requirements.
- Few southeastern states, excepting Florida, have shown
interest in enacting RPS programs.
- Some states that have satisfied or soon will satisfy their
existing requirements (e.g., Texas, Maine, Arizona and Wisconsin)
might increase their requirements, as New Jersey did this
year.
Effect of Extension
of Section 45 Production Tax Credits on RPS Opportunities
In October 2004, President Bush signed into law two bills
extending the availability of production tax credits under
Section 45 of the Internal Revenue Code. The first extended
the Section 45 credit for wind, poultry waste, and closed-loop
biomass projects. The second made Section 45 credits available
to eligible solar, wind, geothermal, small irrigation power,
open-loop biomass, landfill gas, and municipal solid waste
facilities. The new Section 45 credit will create an additional
benefit for projects that qualify for an RPS program. Developers
that qualify for the Section 45 credit could have a price
advantage in states with competitive bidding.
Conclusion
State RPS programs have created significant opportunities
for renewable project developers to increase their returns
through price premiums. In some states, RPS programs may be
more beneficial than Section 45 tax credits. Many projects
may qualify for more than one RPS program. To take full advantage
of the opportunities offered by RPS programs, developers should
review the full range of available programs and consider their
options before deciding where to develop and where to sell
power and RECs. DE
CHARLES G. WILLING Jr. Esq., of Ralph, Young, and
Pignatelli, specializes in energy development and environmental
compliance.
1
These programs are Arizona (Ariz. Comp. Admin. R. & Regs.
R14-2-1618), California (Cal. Pub. Util. Code §§381,
383.5, 399.11399.16 and 445, Calif. Pub. Res. Code §§ 25740
25751), Colorado (Colo. Rev. Stat. §40-2-124),
Connecticut (Conn. Gen. Stat. §§ 16-1, 16-245a,
Conn. Agencies Regs. §§ 16-245-1 16-245a-2),
District of Columbia (Council Act No. 15-755, Bill No. 15-747),
Hawaii (Haw. Rev. Stat. ch. 269), Illinois (Ill. Rev. Stat.
ch. 20, para. 688), Iowa (Iowa Code §§ 476.41
476-45, Iowa Admin. Code r. 199-15.11(476)), Maine
(Me. Rev. Stat. Ann. tit. 35-A, 3201, 3210, Me. Code R. § 65-407-311),
Maryland (Md. Pub. Util. Code Ann. §§ 7-701
7-713), Massachusetts (Mass. Gen. Laws Ann. ch. 25A,
§ 11F, Mass. Regs. Code tit. 225, §§ 14.01
14.22), Minnesota (Minn. Stat. Ann. §§ 216B.1691,
216B.2423, 216B.2424, Minn. Pub. Util. Comm'n, Orders dated
Jun. 1, Aug. 13 and Oct. 19, 2004), Nevada (Nev. Rev. Stat.
§§ 704.7801 704.7828, Nev. Admin. Code
§§ 704.8831 704.8893), New Jersey (N.J.
Stat. Ann. § 48:3-87, N.J. Admin. Code § 14:4-8),
New Mexico (2004 N.M. Laws ch. 65, N.M. Admin. Code § 17.9.572),
New York (N.Y. Pub. Serv. Comm'n, Order Regarding Retail Renewable
Portfolio Standards, Sept. 24, 2004), Pennsylvania (SB 1030,
2004), Rhode Island (R.I. Gen. Laws §§ 39-26-1
39-26-10), Texas (Tex. Util. Code Ann. § 39.904,
P.U.C. Subst. R. § 25.173), and Wisconsin (Wisc.
Stat. §§ 196.377 196.378, Wis. Admin.
Code §§ PSC 118.01 PSC 118.06).
Some observers
list Illinois as having an RPS program because the Illinois
legislature has articulated renewable power goals. However,
no steps have been taken to achieve the goals. As of March
2005, the Illinois Commerce Commission is considering an RPS
plan proposed by Gov. Rod Blagojevich.
2
Section 45 has applied to wind and "closed-loop biomass"
projects for over 10 years and to "poultry waste"
since 1999. The newly enacted federal tax law (the "American
Jobs Protection Act of 2004", P.L. 108-357, October 22,
2004) expands the section 45 production tax credit to include
sources such as solar, landfill gas, waste wood, and trash.
The value of those credits is $0.018/kWh ($18/MWh) for wind,
$0.009/kWh ($9/MWh) for landfill gas. By comparison, the current
market rate for RECs in New England is in the $35$45/MWh
range.
3
States have also developed other types of programs to encourage
renewables, including funds dedicated to renewable energy
projects, green power marketing and customer choice programs,
streamlined siting rules, tax incentives, and net metering.
Voluntary markets have also developed. Those programs and
markets are outside the scope of this article.
4
The theory is that increased demand for renewable power will
create economies of scale, accelerating a cycle in which renewables
will become more economic.
5
The US Senate passed energy bills requiring that 10% of the
nation's electricity come from renewable energy sources by
2020 in 2002 and 2003. In both years, the House did not agree
to such a measure. A renewable portfolio standards bill has
been introduced in the US House once again in 2005.
6
Electric service providers (ESPs) must comply with the California
RPS starting in 2006. The California Public Utilities Commission
is considering how to implement the requirements with respect
to ESPs.
7
These states are Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut,
District of Columbia, Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts,
Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode
Island, and Wisconsin.
8
Maine utilities already get over 40% of their load from renewable
power (as defined under Maine's RPS program).
9
Iowa requires its three investor-owned utilities to have a
total of 105 MWs of renewable generation capacity statewide
(this responsibility is divided among the utilities) and the
requirement is being met with current capacity.
10
At present, California's RPS program does not provide for
tradable RECs. "Environmental attributes" must be
sold together with the corresponding electricity to the load-serving
entity, and then retired.
11
In New Jersey, the Board of Public Utilities will set the
ACP each year at a level greater than the anticipated market
price for RECs. For 2004, the BPU set the ACP for RECs for
Class I and Class II resources at $50/MWh and for solar RECs
at $300/MWh.
12
In New York, Administrative Law Judge Stein recommended in
her Recommended Decision dated June 3, 2004 that the PSC adopt
a penalty in the amount of 150% of the prior year's certificate
cost. The PSC did not decide on penalties in its order of
9/24/04, but presumably it will eventually adopt a penalty
scheme substantially similar to ALJ Stein's.
13
e.g., Maine (up to 100 MW), and Minnesota and Wisconsin (both
up to 60 MW).
14
e.g., Iowa, Minnesota.
15
e.g., California, Connecticut, Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts,
New Jersey,
New York, Rhode
Island, Texas, and Wisconsin.
16
e.g., Maryland.
17
e.g., Nevada, New Mexico.
18
e.g., California, Nevada, New York.
19
e.g., California, Connecticut, Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts,
New Jersey,
New Mexico, New
York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.
20
e.g., Arizona, California (conversion plants and older combustion
plants), Connecticut, Hawaii, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts,
Nevada, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania.
21
Wind-generated projects installed on or after 1/1/04 receive
120% credit toward RPS requirements for output generated by
12/31/05 and 110% credit for output generated between 2006
and 2008.
22
Other states with vintage requirements include Arizona (January
1, 1997) and Wisconsin (January 1, 1998). Rhode Island limits
the amount of existing (operating prior to December 31, 1997)
that can be used to satisfy its RPS.
23
SEPs are paid from a CEC-administered trust funded by charges
collected from ratepayers. The SEP payments are intended to
insulate power purchasers from above-market costs in their
procurement of renewables. New or repowered MSW plants are
not eligible for SEPs. New or repowered biomass plants must
meet fuel use specifications to be eligible for SEPs.
24
e.g., California, Colorado, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts,
Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode
Island, Texas (though limited), and Wisconsin.
DE - May/June 2005
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